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Increase the proportion of students with disabilities who are usually in regular education programs — DH‑05 Data Methodology and Measurement

About the National Data

Data

Baseline: 63.5 percent of students with disabilities aged 6 to 21 years spent at least 80 percent of their time in regular education programs in the 2017-18 school year

Target: 73.3 percent

Numerator
Number of students with disabilities aged 6 to 21 years who are in regular classrooms at least 80 percent of the day.
Denominator
Number of students with disabilities aged 6 to 21 years in all classroom settings.
Target-setting method
Projection
Target-setting method details
Linear trend fitted using ordinary least squares and a projection at the 75 percent prediction interval.
1
Target-setting method justification
Trend data were evaluated for this objective. Using historical data points, a trend line was fitted using ordinary least squares, and the trend was projected into the next decade. This method was used because three or more comparable data points were available, the projected value was within the range of possible values, and a projection at the 75 percent prediction interval was selected because it was a conservative estimate based on sustained trends over time. This trend should continue barring any widespread changes in educational practices.

Methodology

Methodology notes

Data come from the Individuals with Disabilities Education Act (IDEA) Data System, administered by the Department of Education, Office of Special Education. Data are based on counts of the number of students with disabilities as specified in the numerator and denominator definitions. Data are aggregated by states and territories for a total of 57 entries (50 states plus District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, Guam, American Samoa, Virgin Islands, Northern Mariana Islands, and Bureau of Indian Affairs). Thus, specific demographic data (i.e., gender, race-ethnicity, etc.) are unavailable.

History

Comparable HP2020 objective
Retained, which includes core objectives that are continuing from Healthy People 2020 with no change in measurement.

1. Because Healthy People 2030 objectives have a desired direction (e.g., increase or decrease), the confidence level of a one-sided prediction interval can be used as an indication of how likely a target will be to achieve based on the historical data and fitted trend.