Reduce the rate of minors and young adults committing violent crimes — AH‑10 Data Methodology and Measurement

On this page: About the National Data | Methodology | History

About the National Data

Data

Data Source: Uniform Crime Reporting System (UCR), DOJ/FBI

Baseline: 249.0 arrests per 100,000 adolescents and young adults aged 10 to 24 years for perpetration of violent crimes (murder and non-negligent manslaughter, robbery, and aggravated assault) occurred in 2018

Target: 199.2 per 100,000

Numerator

Number of arrests of juveniles aged 10 to 17 years and young adults aged 18 to 24 years for violent crimes (murder and non-negligent manslaughter, robbery, and aggravated assault).

Denominator

Number of juveniles aged 10 to 17 years and young adults aged 18 to 24 years in the residential population.

Target-setting method

Percent improvement

Target-setting method details

20 percent improvement from the baseline.

Target-setting method justification

Trend data were evaluated for this objective, but it was not possible to project a target because the trend over the past few years showed smaller declines than previous years, and the Healthy People 2030 Workgroup Subject Matter Experts (SMEs) viewed the projection as too ambitious. A 20 percent improvement from the baseline was used to calculate a target. This method was used because the SMEs anticipated a continued downward trend in youth perpetration of violent crime due to multi-sectoral and evidence-based approaches to prevent youth perpetration of crime.

Methodology

Methodology notes

Data for this indicator are from the FBI's Uniform Crime Reporting Program (UCR), a national data collection of crimes reported by law enforcement agencies. Data are voluntarily contributed by more than 18,000 city, university and college, county, state, tribal, and federal law enforcement agencies throughout the nation. For this indicator, violent crime includes the three offenses of murder and non-negligent manslaughter, robbery, and aggravated assault. The number of agencies contributing data for this indicator, and the resident populations served by those agencies varies by year. Population denominators for rate calculations are adjusted to account for non-reporting agencies.

History

Comparable HP2020 objective

Modified, which includes core objectives that are continuing from Healthy People 2020 but underwent a change in measurement.

Changes between HP2020 and HP2030

This objective differs from Healthy People 2020 objective AH-11.1 in that objective AH-11.1 included "rape" in the definition of violent crimes, while this objective excludes "rape" from the definition.